Ukuhlasela kwakamuva kwe-US ngokumelene nezindawo zenuzi e-Iran kudale igagasi lovalo ezimakethe zomhlaba wonke zezimali namandla.Lokhu kuhlasela, okulandela amasonto okwanda kwezingxabano eMpumalanga Ephakathi, sekubeke kubatshalizimali kanye nabahlaziyi lapho sibhekene nesinye sezimo ezingaqinisekile futhi ezibucayi kakhulu eminyakeni yamuva.
Emahoreni alandela ukuqhuma kwamabhomu, amanani kawoyela abhekane nokuphindaphindeka okuqinile, kuyilapho izimakethe zamasheya zomhlaba wonke kanye nezimpahla eziyingozi zisebenza ngokuqapha okukhulu.. Amathuba okuthi a ukuvinjwa kwe-strait Strait of Hormuz —okuthe ngayo cishe ingxenye eyodwa kwezinhlanu zikawoyela ongahluziwe womhlaba kanye nengxenye efanayo yegesi yawo ewuketshezi ejikelezayo—okuye kwaba yisizinda sokunakwa. ukwesaba kokuqhubekela phambili kokungqubuzana ukwandisa ukuntengantenga kuyo yonke imikhakha.
Amafutha namandla, esweni lesiphepho
Kusukela kumenyezelwe ukuhlasela kwe-US, Ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe we-Brent lenyuke ngamaphesenti angaphezu kuka-11 kanti i-US West Texas Intermediate ibone ukunyuka okufanayo.Izibalo zishiya ngokungangabazeki mayelana novalo olukhona: ochwepheshe baveza ukuthi, uma kwenzeka kuvalwe ngempumelelo iStrait of Hormuz, Intengo yomgqomo ingakhuphukela ku-$120 noma imbala engu-$130., isimo esingakaze sibonwe kusukela kwaba nezinkinga zomlando zamandla.
Akukhona nje ukuthi uwoyela ongahluziwe ungaphansi kwengcindezi; Igesi yemvelo nayo ibone ukwanda okuphawulekayoLokhu kucindezela okuphindwe kabili kuthinta ikakhulukazi iYurophu, ethembele kakhulu ekuthengeni kwamanye amazwe ukuze ihlangabezane nesidingo sayo samandla, kanye namazwe ase-Asia, abathengi abakhulu begesi eliwuketshezi elithunyelwa ngaphandle yisifunda saseGulf.
Imiphumela esheshayo isiqala ukuzwakala emananini kaphethiloli. Emazweni afana ne-United States, lapho izindleko ezimaphakathi ngegaloni ngalinye sezivele zikhuphuka futhi zisongela ukwanda kakhulu ezinsukwini ezizayo. Abahlaziyi baxwayisa ngokuthi uma le nkinga iqhubeka, Isilinganiso sentengo kaphethiloli singadlula kalula u-$3,40 ilitha ngalinye, futhi yeqe ngisho ne-$5 uma isimo siba sibi.
Ochwepheshe abanjengoPatrick de Haan bakuveza lokho Ukwenyuka kwentengo kungadluliselwa ngqo kubathengi, okwandisa izindleko hhayi kuphela zikaphethiloli, kodwa futhi zikagesi-ikakhulukazi ngenxa yomthelela emikhiqizweni yamandla ahlanganisiwe kanye nengxube yamandla aseYurophu-kanye nemikhiqizo eyisisekelo ngenxa yokukhuphuka kwezindleko zokuhamba.
Izimakethe zezimali, ukutshalwa kwezimali kanye nempahla ephephile
Ukusabela kwezimakethe zamasheya zomhlaba jikelele bekulokhu, okwamanje, kuncane kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe umuntu lapho ebhekene nesenzakalo salolu hlobo, nakuba. Abahlaziyi bayavuma ukuthi isonto liyaguquguquka futhi kungenzeka ukuwaIzinkomba zaseYurophu nase-US zehle phakathi kuka-1,5% no-2% kusukela kuqale izingxabano, nakuba imakethe ilindele ukunyakaza okubukhali njengoba izenzakalo zenzeka.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, Igolide, amabhondi e-Treasury yase-US kanye nedola laseMelika aqinise indima yawo evamile njengendawo ephephile.Idola liye lenyuka cishe ngo-0,9% kusukela kuqale ukungqubuzana, ngenkathi Isidingo sokukhava ezimakethe siyenyuka ukuze kuvikelwe ekubhebhethekeni okungaba kubi kwesimo.
La I-Israel stock exchange Intengo kawoyela imangaze ukwenyuka okungokomlando, okukhombisa umbono wabatshalizimali wokuthi umnyakazo weWashington ungavula indlela yesenzo sobunxusa. Kodwa-ke, kulo lonke elaseMpumalanga Ephakathi, izimakethe zibonisa ukuqapha okwengeziwe, ngokunyakaza okuxubile kuye ngokusondelana kwezwe ngalinye nesisindo endaweni yamandla.
Mayelana nabatshalizimali, abaphathi bezikhwama ezinkulu namabhange batusa, okwamanje, Hlala uzolile, hlukanisa amaphothifoliyo, futhi uthande imikhakha evikelayo njengamandla, igolide, izinto eziyisisekelo zabathengi, nokunakekelwa kwezempilo. Umlando uphakamisa ukuthi ukwethuka kwe-geopolitical kuvame ukuba nemiphumela yesikhashana ezimakethe zamasheya, kodwa ukungaqiniseki kwamanje kusikhuthaza ukuthi sihlale siqaphile.
Izingozi zezomnotho nezepolitiki zesikhathi esimaphakathi
Isici esibalulekile umthelela ongaqondile ukuthi Ukwehla kwamandla emali kungase kube nomthelela ezimisweni zezimali zamabhange amakhuluNgokukhuphuka kwamanani entengo, ayanda amathuba okuthi i-Federal Reserve, i-European Central Bank, noma amanye amabhange amakhulu azobambezela noma amise okwesikhashana ukwehliswa kwezinga lenzalo. Lokhu kuzothinta i-Euribor, izindleko ze-mortgage, umsebenzi webhizinisi, futhi, ekugcineni, nokuqashwa.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukungaqiniseki kwezepolitiki uqobo kanye nokuziphindiselela okungenzeka kwe-Iran-njengoba sekuxwayiswe yiPhalamende lase-Iranian, elincome ngokusemthethweni ukuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz— engeza ingcindezi emnothweni womhlabaIngozi yokwehla kwamandla emali, lapho ukukhula komnotho kuncipha khona futhi amanani entengo enyuka, iba yinto ekhathaza abahlaziyi kanye nezikhungo zangempela.
Abanye ochwepheshe baxwayisa ngokuthi ukunyuka okuqhubekayo kwe-20% -30% kwentengo kawoyela inganciphisa ukukhula komhlaba wonke phakathi kuka-0,5% no-1%, kuyilapho ukwehla kwamandla emali kwabathengi kuzoba nokukhuphuka okulinganayo.
