Liyini ithuluzi lokubuyisela i-Fibonacci nokuthi lisebenza kanjani

Esigabeni sokugcina sochungechunge lwethu lokuqeqeshwa kokuhweba, sixoxe ngesibonakaliso se-Koncorde . Lesi sibonakaliso sesikhathi esisha sisivumele ukuthi sibone ukunyakaza kwabatshalizimali bezikhungo kanye nabathengisi ngamaphethini. Akungabazeki ukuthi kuyisibonakaliso okufanele sifunde ukusichaza ukuze sibikezele ukunyakaza okungenzeka okungathinta iphothifoliyo yethu. Futhi uma sikhuluma ngamathuluzi amahle, kwase kuyisikhathi sokuthi ngikubonise elinye lalawa athandwa kakhulu emhlabeni wokuhweba. Ngakho-ke, ekuqeqeshweni kokuhweba kwanamuhla, sizokhuluma ngethuluzi lokubuyisela emuva le-Fibonacci nokuthi singalisebenzisa kanjani.

Kuyini ukubuyiselwa kwe-Fibonacci?

Leli ngelinye lamathuluzi abaluleke kakhulu esizolixoxa ochungechungeni lwethu lwezihloko zokuqeqesha ukuhweba. Ekuqaleni, i-Fibonacci iwuphawu lwesilinganiso segolide, okuwukulandelana okungenamkhawulo kwezinombolo zemvelo. Yaqala ukuchazwa eYurophu nguLeonardo wasePisa , owaziwa kakhulu ngokuthi i-Fibonacci. Lolu chungechunge lwezinombolo luqala ngo-0 no-1, futhi kusukela lapho, igama ngalinye liyisamba samagama amabili angaphambilini.

Uma kungenjalo sihlukanisa inombolo ngayinye nedlule, sithola ukulandelana okucishe kufane nenombolo engu-phi, elingana no-1,618. Leli thuluzi liza lifakwe izinto eziningi eziguquguqukayo (ukubuyisela emuva, isandiso, isithandwa sokumelana nesivinini, indawo yesikhathi, indawo yesikhathi, imijikelezo, i-spiral, i-arc, i-wedge, isiteshi) kodwa ebaluleke kakhulu noma ewusizo i-Fibonacci Retracement inikezwe ukuthi ibonisa ukwesekwa nokumelana. amaleveli eshadini achazwe kusukela kwenani eliphezulu nelincane.

Ikalwa kanjani i-Fibonacci retracement?

Njengoba sichazile endimeni edlule, ukubuyiswa kwe-Fibonacci kukalwa ngesilinganiso segolide. Ezinkundleni zokuxhumana zenziwa ngokuzenzakalelayo kithi kusetshenziswa ithuluzi lokubuyisa le-Fibonacci. Okokuqala, ukusuka endaweni ephezulu (noma ubuncane, sizobona kamuva) ingasisiza ukuthi sihlonze okungase kube khona ukudonsa emuva lapho inqamula ukumelana noma izisekelo. Kunconywa ukuthi ungangeni emakethe uma lokhu kungenziwanga.

Kungcono ukusebenza ngezikali ze-logarithmic kumabanga amakhulu wesikhathi, njengoba zisinika amasignali anembe kakhudlwana. Ukwengeza, iyithuluzi esingalisebenzisa ezikhathini ezimbili ngesikhathi esisodwa ukuze sithole izindawo ezibalulekile zesikhathi ngasinye. Ukucushwa okuvamile kwethuluzi kunamapharamitha alandelayo abonwa kugrafu engenhla, nakuba imibala ebonisiwe ingase ihluke kuye ngokunambitha komhwebi ngamunye. Ngakho-ke, manje njengoba sesibonile ukuthi isebenza kanjani nokuthi ikalwa kanjani, ake sithole amaphethini athile okuziphatha.

Singawahumusha kanjani amaphethini wokubuyisela we-Fibonacci?

Njengoba sisanda kuchaza leli thuluzi, lisivumela ukuthi sihlukanise amazinga okusekela nawokumelana ngentengo yempahla ukusuka endaweni encane nephezulu kakhulu (noma okuphambene nalokho). Kusukela lapho konke kuhamba kahle, siyabona ukuthi sinezitezi nosilingi kugrafu esihlukanisela izindawo ezibalulekile. Manje sekufika, njengoba sesichazile kwezinye izindatshana zokuqeqesha zokuhweba, lapho sifika emsebenzini sifunda amaphethini athile ukuze sisize ekusebenzeni kwethu. Sincoma ukuhlanganisa amasiginali waleli thuluzi nezinye izinkomba noma amathuluzi (njengemihlahlandlela). Ake sibheke amanye amaphethini okubuyisela we-Fibonacci asebenza kahle kakhulu:

Ukubuyisela emuva ku-38,2% ukusuka kokuncane/ubuningi

Lena iphethini yethuluzi lokulandelela le-Fibonacci elibalulekile. Ngaphandle kokungabaza enye ephumelela kakhulu ngenxa yokuqonda nokutholakala kwayo kalula. Le phethini isekelwe ekubonweni kobuningi bokusebenzisa ithuluzi. Silandelela indlela ukusuka kokuphezulu kuye kokuphansi (noma okuphambene nalokho) futhi sidweba umhlahlandlela ongahlukanisa indlela engaba khona yentengo. Kunconywa ukuthi ubheke intengo uma yephula umhlahlandlela bese ulinda ukuthi ibuyele emuva kumhlahlandlela. Ngaleso sikhathi, intengo cishe izobhekisa amabombo ezingeni lama-38,2%.

Ukubuyisela emuva ku-61,8% kusuka kokuphansi/phezulu

Iphethini esizoyibona ngezansi iyafana naleyo esisanda kukubonisa yona endimeni edlule. Ikakhulukazi kungase kuncike kweyokuqala, uma kubhekwa ukuthi ukuhlehliswa emuva kuya ezingeni lama-61,8% kungenzeka ezimweni ezisekela ngokuqinile ukunyakaza kuleyo ndawo, noma ezifika kamuva kancane ukusuka ezingeni lama-38,2%.

Ulayini omncane obomvu, 50%

Le phethini ayidumile njengamanye ashiwo ngenhla. Kodwa lokho akusho ukuthi azikho usizo, njengoba umugqa obomvu ophakathi uhlukanisa uhhafu wendlela yokuhlehla. Lokhu kusho ukuthi izitobhi noma amakhefu okwenziwa intengo kule ndawo kuzosisiza ukuthi sinqume ukuthi umnyakazo wokuphuma uzoqhubeka yini noma uma kunalokho uzojika.

Ukunyakaza kwe-V-turn kusuka ku-61,8% kuya ku-38,2%

Leli elinye lamaphethini anelukuluku esingalibona ngaphakathi kwalokhu kwakheka kokuhweba. Njengokungathi umnyakazo wokuthola kabusha umnotho (ukutholwa ku-V, L, U, njll...), singaphinda sihlonze lokhu kwakheka kuleli thuluzi. Okuhle kakhulu ukuthi lolu hlobo lwephethini ka-V lokuhlehla luvamise ukwenzeka lapho impahla ihlala ebangeni eliphakathi kwamazinga angama-61,8% nama-38,2%.

Isandiso se-Fibonacci

Enye yamaphethini kulolu chungechunge nayo esebenza kahle kakhulu. Kunjalo, okukodwa okumele kuqale kubone ukuthambekela kwentengo ukugwema ukwenza amaphutha. Le phethini isekelwe ekubonweni kwempahla esanda kuqeda uhambo lokulandelela ukusuka kokuphezulu ukuya kokuphansi. Lapho iphula izinga eliphezulu (noma eliphansi), ngokuvamile yenza umnyakazo obheke phezulu ukuze izisekele ezingeni esanda kuliphuka. Ngaleso sikhathi, intengo yempahla ingase ilungiselele ukukhuphuka iye ezingeni elingu-1,618%.

Iziphetho ezivela kulokhu kuqeqeshwa kokuhweba kokubuyiselwa kwe-Fibonacci 

Ngemuva kokuphothula lolu qeqesho lokuhweba ngethuluzi lokubuyisela i-Fibonacci, sibonile ukuthi luwusizo olunikezayo emisebenzini yethu. Okokuqala, kuyamangaza ukuthi ukulandelana kwezinombolo kuba khona kuzo zonke izingxenye zokuphila kwansuku zonke emhlabeni, kusukela ekwakhekeni kwezimpawu zenkampani, kuya ekwakhiweni kwezakhiwo, kuye kwimvelo ngokwayo eyenza indlela yayo ngalolo chungechunge lwezinombolo.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, sibonile futhi ukuthi singahumusha kanjani amanye amaphethini okuziphatha. Lokhu kusivumela ukuthi sibone ngeso lengqondo izakhiwo zentengo ezivame ukugcwaliseka ngokusemathubeni aphezulu. Kumele kuqashelwe, njengoba sishilo ekuqaleni kokuqeqeshwa kokuhweba, ukuthi kukhona amanye amathuluzi asekelwe ku-Fibonacci, kodwa lena yiyona ndlela esetshenziswa kakhulu abadayisi.