Ngesikhathi esincane esilindelwe kubatshalizimali, kuvele "uMsombuluko Omnyama" omusha ezimakethe zamasheya zamazwe ngamazwe. Ukuqala kwesonto bekungeke kube kubi kakhulu ezimakethe zamasheya , njengoba inkomba enamandla yeDow Jones yehla cishe ngo -5 %. Lokhu kungenye yokwehla okukhulu emlandweni wayo, okungakaze kubonwe kusukela ngo-2011, ngesikhathi sokuwohloka komnotho. Lokhu kwehla kusabalale nakwezinye izimakethe, njengalezo ezise-Asia naseYurophu. Kunoma ikuphi, ukukhathazeka sekuphinde kwabamba phakathi kwabahlanganyeli bemakethe yamasheya.
Lokhu kwehla kwemakethe yamasheya, ikakhulukazi e-US, kumangaze abahlaziyi bezezimali abaningi. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi ukusebenza kwezabelo zase-US bekulokhu kuphelele kuze kube manje, kuqhubeka nokweqa amazinga aphezulu futhi kuziveza njengenye yezimakethe zezimali ezinenzuzo kakhulu emhlabeni, kanti inzuzo isondela ku-100% eminyakeni eyishumi edlule. Nakuba bekulindeleke uhlobo oluthile lokulungiswa, isinyathelo esibukhali njengaleso esenzeke kuleli sonto sasingalindelekile.
Ingcindezi yokuthengisa ngokusobala inqobe ingcindezi yokuthenga. Kodwa into entsha kulokhu kube ukuqina kwalezi zikhundla zokuthengisa, kangangokuthi kubambe abatshalizimali abaningi abancane nabaphakathi bengalindele. Manje, umbuzo uwukuthi lokhu kwehla kuyisenzakalo esingavamile, esiyenzeka kanye noma into ebaluleke kakhulu—okungukuthi, ukuqala komkhuba wokwehla ongaba nemiphumela emibi kakhulu ezikhundleni zabatshalizimali. Lona omunye wemibuzo ebalulekile abameli bezezimali abazibuza yona kulezi zinsuku.
Izizathu zokuqhekeka e-United States
Ukulahlekelwa ngu-5% ngesikhathi esisodwa sokuhweba kuyiphutha elikhulu uma kukhulunywa ngamasheya. Kunoma ikuphi, isizathu sokuqala, nesisobala, salokhu kwehla emakethe yamasheya yase-US sihlobene nesinqumo mayelana nokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo . Manje kubonakala sengathi lokhu kwenyuka ngeke kube kancane kancane, njengoba abatshalizimali babelindele. Esikhundleni salokho, kungase kube nesiphithiphithi futhi kwenzeke ngokushesha okukhulu kunalokho obekulindelekile. Lokhu kwesaba okwamanje kuvame phakathi kwabatshalizimali abaningi abancane nabaphakathi futhi sekusakazekele ezimakethe zamasheya.
Nokho, konke kubonakala sengathi kubonisa ukuthi umnotho wase-US uyachuma, njengoba izinkomba eziningi zomnotho zisikisela . Kodwa kukhona isilumkiso esincane: kunezimpawu zokuthi kungenzeka ukuthi ushisa ngokweqile. Lesi sici esibalulekile singaba nemiphumela emibi ekusetshenzisweni kwezinqubomgomo zenzalo kulo lonke elase-Atlantic. Futhi lokhu kwesaba sekufinyelele ngisho nasezimakethe zamasheya. Lokhu kuchaza ukwehla okungenani okungu-5%.
Kuzokwenzekani ngamanani wenzalo?
Kunoma ikuphi, into eyodwa isicacile kakhulu: isinqumo senzalo sase-US sisalokhu sibalulekile ekusebenzeni kwezimakethe zamasheya. Lokhu kube sobala kakhulu ezinsukwini zamuva, njengoba ingcindezi yokuthengisa ingabonakali iminyaka eminingi, okungenani ezimakethe zamasheya zaseMelika. I-Dow Jones yehlelwe ukwehla okukhulu kakhulu kunanini ngaphambili, okuyisici esikhuthaze abatshalizimali abanethemba kakhulu ezimakethe zezimali ukuba balondoloze imali yabo.
Kunoma ikuphi, izimakethe zamasheya zaseYurophu zehle cishe ngo-2%, zidonswa ukwehla okukhulu kwamaphuzu eDow Jones. Lokhu kuhlobene kakhulu namanani amasheya kwezinye izimakethe ezinkulu zezimali zomhlaba wonke, okugqamisa ubudlelwano obuqinile obukhona njengamanje nalezi zimpahla zezimali. Izimakethe zase-Asia nazo zehle ngesilinganiso esicishe sibe ngu-4% ezinsukwini ezimbili zokuqala zesonto. Manje kusazobonakala ukuthi lokhu kwehla kwezinkomba zomhlaba eziyinhloko kuzoqhubeka yini ezinsukwini ezizayo.
Ama-Downs adlulela nase-Europe
Akuyona nje imakethe yamasheya yaseMelika eye yahlupheka kulezi zinsuku ezimbalwa ezedlule. Ngokuphambene nalokho, lokhu kushaqeka kubonakale nasemakethe yamasheya yaseYurophu. Ngenxa yalokho, i-CAC 40 yaseFrance yehle ngo-2,35%; i-FTSE yaseBrithani ngo-2,64%; i-Frankfurt DAX ngo-2,32%; kanye ne-Milan MIB ngo-1,52%. Imakethe yamasheya yaseSpain ilandele okufanayo, i- IBEX 35 yehla ngo-2,5%. Njengoba ikusasa lihweba ngokubomvu kuzo zonke izimakethe, ngokungangabazeki kulindeleke ukwehla okwengeziwe phakathi nesonto, yize kungase kungabi kubi njengokulahlekelwa ngoMsombuluko.
Kodwa-ke, akuyona yodwa imakethe yezezimali elahlekelwe yinani kulezi zikhathi ezibucayi kubo bonke abatshalizimali. Esinye isisulu esikhulu kube uwoyela, lapho i -Brent crude , okuyisilinganiso saseYurophu, ikhuphuka ngaphezu kwama-$67 ibhareli, yehle ngo-0,70%. Noma kunjalo, ukwehla akubanga kukhulu njengasezindikimbeni ezinkulu zamazwe ngamazwe, futhi umthelela wako unciphile kakhulu kuze kube manje.
Isikhundla sesibopho sobukhosi
Omunye umphumela omubi walokhu kuwa okukhulu kwemakethe yamasheya emhlabeni wonke uye wabonakala kumabhondi . Ngempela, kusukela kulo mbono omusha wokutshalwa kwezimali, amabhondi e-US Treasury avelele ezinsukwini zamuva nje, athola u-2,7%, okuphambene kakhulu nesilinganiso samanje sebhondi yaseJalimane esingu-0,7%. Lawa manani abikezela ukunyuka kwenzalo esikhathini esizayo, ukwesaba okukhulu okubamba izimakethe zezimali. Yilapho imakethe yamasheya iwela khona e-United States, futhi ngezinga elincane kwezinye izingxenye zomhlaba, igxile kakhulu.
Ngakho-ke, lokhu kwehla kwemakethe yamasheya kungahunyushwa njengokuthatha inzuzo nje emakethe yamasheya yase-US. Kodwa-ke, kunemiphumela ebaluleke kakhulu kwezinye izindlela zokutshala imali. Kulokhu, awukwazi ukukhohlwa ukuthi kube noshintsho kwinqubomgomo yezimali ngaphesheya kwe-Atlantic. Futhi lokhu kuyisici esingadala ukungathembani phakathi kwabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi.
Shintsha kunjalo ku-FED
Kubalulekile futhi ukukhumbula ukuthi i -US Federal Reserve (Fed) inosihlalo omusha, futhi lokhu kuhlala kudala ukungakhululeki okuthile ezimakethe zezimali maqondana nezinqubomgomo zezimali ezingase zisetshenziswe, ikakhulukazi lezo ezihlobene namazinga enzalo. Lokhu kuyimbangela ethile yokwehla kwemakethe yamasheya ekuqaleni kwesonto. Ngempela, kukhona ukuqagela okwandayo kokuthi usihlalo omusha we-Fed, uJerome Powell, angase asebenzise izinqubomgomo zezimali ezinolaka kakhulu ezinsukwini ezizayo, ngenxa yesikhundla sakhe esisha. Uma kunjalo, lokhu kwehla kwenani ezimakethe zamasheya ngeke kube yinto eyenzeka kanye kuphela, kodwa kunalokho yisethulo sokuncishiswa okwengeziwe, mhlawumbe kube kubi nakakhulu emiphumeleni yabo eyinhloko.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kungenzeka ukuthi imakethe yamasheya izoqhubeka nokwengeza inani ekutshalweni kwakho, kodwa into eyodwa iqinisekile: ukuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu kubuyele ezindaweni zokushintshanisa amasheya cishe emhlabeni wonke. Ukusebenza kwenkomba ye-VIX ezinsukwini ezimbili ezedlule kubonisa ngokucacile lokhu, ngokwanda okukhulu kwamazinga ayo. Vele, awukwazi ukukhohlwa ukuthi le nkomba, exhunywe ngqo emakethe yamasheya, ilinganisa ukwesaba kwabatshalizimali. Futhi njengamanje, ikhombisa ukuthi kuningi.
Amathuba amasha ebhizinisi
Yize uma utshala imali kulesilinganiso, ungangabazi ukuthi uzokwazi ukuthola imali eningi kusuka manje kuqhubeke uma ukuntengantenga ezimakethe zezimali kuyinto yangempela. Yize kunengozi enkulu ekusebenzeni ngoba kuyadingeka ukuhlinzeka ngolwazi oluningi kulolu hlobo lokunyakaza okukhetheke kakhulu kusuka kuwo wonke amaphuzu wokubuka. Kunoma ikuphi, unyaka omusha okhona njengamanje uqale ukushukunyiswa kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelekile kusukela ekuqaleni.
Lapho, ngaphandle kokungabaza, amathuba amabhizinisi azoqhubeka nokuvela, noma ngabe izinto ziba zimbi kakhulu emakethe yamasheya esikhathini esisele sonyaka. Okungenani kuyisimo esisha lapho bekungadingeki ukuthi wenze ngokusemthethweni ukusebenza kwakho emakethe yamasheya. Ngoba ekugcineni kosuku yilesi sikhwama. Lapho ungathola khona imali eningi, kepha futhi shiya ama-euro amaningi emgwaqeni.