I-Stagflation ngokuqinisekile ingenye yamagama ezomnotho athole ukuthandwa okukhulu eminyakeni yamuva ngezizathu ezilula ukuziqonda. Kodwa uyazi ngempela ukuthi leli gama elibonakala liyinkimbinkimbi lisho ukuthini? Ukuze kuqedwe noma yikuphi ukudideka, i-stagflation imane nje isimo sezomnotho sezwe elibonakala limile kancane kwezomnotho kuyilapho amanani kanye namaholo kuqhubeka nokukhuphuka. Njengoba ungase uqagele, lesi yisimo esenzeke eSpain, isibonelo, ngezinye izikhathi.
I-Stagflation ingenye yezimo ezimbi kakhulu, hhayi nje kuphela emnothweni jikelele, kodwa nasezimakethe zamasheya. Ivame ukuba nemiphumela emibi kuzo zombili, njengoba uzobona kulo lonke lesi sihloko. Into ebalulekile okufanele uyiqonde ukuthi i-stagflation akuyona inflation, naphezu kokufana phakathi kwala magama amabili, hhayi ngebanga elide. Kuyinto ehlukile futhi, ngokombono othile, iyinkimbinkimbi kakhulu futhi iyingozi. Ngempela, izinqubomgomo eziningi zomnotho emhlabeni wonke zenzelwe ukudala lesi simo esibucayi.
Ngamanye amazwi, i-stagflation ifana nokwenyuka kwamanani okuhambisana nokwehla okukhulu komnotho. Le ncazelo izokusiza ukuthi uqonde leli gama kangcono kakhulu, noma ngabe awukaze ulizwe ngaphambili. Kubalulekile ukwazi ukuthi ukuliqonda kuzobaluleka ekuphatheni ingcebo yakho siqu ngisho nasekuthuthukiseni ukutshalwa kwezimali kwakho, kokubili lapho uvula futhi uvala izikhundla emakethe yamasheya . Lokhu kuncike ebunzimeni be-stagflation, uma ivela emnothweni wezwe.
I-stagflation: izingozi zayo
Leli zinga lomsebenzi wezomnotho alizona izindaba ezinhle kunoma yiliphi izwe . Kunezizathu eziningi, kodwa zonke kulula kakhulu ukuziqonda. Akudingeki ube uchwepheshe kwezomnotho. Cha. I-Stagflation ibeka ingozi enkulu kubantu banoma yiliphi izwe. Okokuqala, yenza abasebenzi babe mpofu ngoba imali yabo ilahlekelwa amandla okuthenga. Izindleko zokuphila ezikhuphukayo zibabeka esimweni esibucayi kakhulu, okubangela ukungakwazi kwabo ukuhlangabezana nezindleko ezithile.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, lapho umnotho wezwe ungakhuli, kuvela uchungechunge lwezingozi kubantu balo. Ngamanye amazwi, ukukhula komnotho okuhamba kancane kuholela emisebenzini embalwa , futhi ngenxa yalokho, ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwehla kancane kancane. Lokhu kuphonsa umnotho emjikelezweni omubi kakhulu, kuze kube yilapho ungadala isimo esibi kakhulu, esifana nalokho okwenzeka emhlabeni wonke ngesikhathi soKuwohloka Okukhulu Kwezomnotho kwekhulu leminyaka elidlule. Lokhu kumelela isimo esibi kakhulu esingavela kusukela ekuqaleni kwe-stagflation.
Ngabe kulula ukuthi kwenzeke?
Naphezu kwalokho izakhamuzi eziningi ezingase zikucabange, i-stagflation akuyona into engenakwenzeka ezweni . Kuhle ukukhumbula okwenzeka eSpain eminyakeni yokuqala yenkinga yezomnotho, cishe ngo-2012 nango-2013. Umphakathi waseSpain wabhekana nayo yonke imiphumela ngesimo sokungasebenzi, izindleko eziphakeme zokuphila, kanye nokuntuleka kwemali yezinhlelo zomphakathi. Ekugcineni, kuyisimo esingathandeki kakhulu kunoma yimuphi umbono kanye nombono wazo zonke izikole zezomnotho, kokubili ezikhululekile nezingenelelayo. Ngoba ikhambi kuphela lisekunqobeni i-stagflation, ngaphezu kwakho konke okunye. Ngoba yilokho, phela, okuphathelene nakho konke.
Esinye isici esibalulekile se-stagflation umphumela wayo ophambene , hhayi nje emnothweni wezwe kodwa nakwezepolitiki, ngokuvela kwamandla angabangela ukuthi izimakethe zamasheya zehle kakhulu, njengoba kwenzekile kulezi zimo ezithile. Lokhu kungaholela ezimweni ezingavamile kakhulu ezigcina zilimaze izimpilo zansuku zonke zezakhamuzi. Lokhu kusobala lapho kuvela i-stagflation eyesabekayo.
Imiphumela ye-stagflation
Manje sidinga ukuhlola imiphumela elimaza kakhulu yalolu shintsho lwezomnotho. Kunezinhlobo eziningi, ezihlukahlukayo , njengoba ubona njengamanje kulesi sihloko esithakazelisayo. Ngempela, izimo ezilandelayo zingavela, esizozichaza ngezansi.
- Okokuqala, kunento ebaluleke njengaleyo etholakala esimweni sokuqashwa. Ngalo mqondo, i-stagflation yakha i- ukwanda kwentengo kuzo zonke izimpahla, ikakhulukazi ezisuselwa ekusetshenzisweni.
- El ukungasebenzi kuyanda kuwo wonke amazinga ngenxa yokwenyuka okuphansi yizinkampani. Kuze kufike ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kule pharamitha yezomnotho yobukhulu bokuqala.
- Izimakethe ze-equity nazo zithintekile yile nhlangano ngoba ithambekele kakhulu kuyo khiqiza ukuguquguquka nokungazethembi ezimakethe. Konke lokhu kuhumusha kube ukwehla okukhulu emakethe yamasheya kanye nokwehla okulandelayo emananini ezokuphepha.
- Ukwenza izinqumo, zombili ngohulumeni nezinkampani uqobo, kuba kakhulu kuyinkimbinkimbi ngokwengeziwe Lokho kuze kube manje. Mayelana nezinyathelo okufanele bazithathe njengomzuzu ofanele wokuzisebenzisa. Ngezingozi zokucasula isimo somnotho.
- Isilondolozi sibona kancane kancane imali yakho ibiza kancane futhi unezinkinga eziningi zokwenza imali ngendlela efanele. Unokungabaza okweqile mayelana nokuthi kufanele ukubeke kuphi ukuthola isilinganiso senzalo esamukelwe ngaphezulu noma esincane.
Izinzuzo ze-stagflation
Naphezu kwalokho umuntu angase akucabange, i-stagflation nayo inezici ezithile ezinhle. Ayiningi, kodwa okungenani inganikeza izinzuzo ezithile ekwakheni lesi sibonakaliso sezomnotho. Enye inzuzo enjalo uhlelo lwentela oluvame ukuba lula, nakuba lokhu kungenjalo ngaso sonke isikhathi. Lokhu kuyiqiniso ikakhulukazi ekukhuthazeni izinkampani ukuthi zithole imiphumela engcono yezezimali. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukwehliswa kwentela kungenye into evelayo kulesi simo. Ngamanye amazwi, uzothola ukuphathwa okuhle kakhulu kunokuba i-stagflation ingekho.
Kunoma ikuphi, ukwenzeka kwayo akukaze kube kuhle, kude nakho, ngoba ubuthakathaka budlula kakhulu izinzuzo. Lokhu kusebenza kuzo zonke izindlela, kuthinta amabhizinisi kanye nezakhamuzi, ezithinteke kakhulu kusukela ekuqaleni. Lokhu kuyinto bonke osomnotho abayazi kahle, futhi ngenxa yalesi sizathu, wonke amasu abo kanye nezinqubomgomo kuhloswe kakhulu ekuvimbeleni i-stagflation eyesabekayo. Ngoba uma ukukhuphuka kwamanani aphezulu kuyingozi ngempela, i-stagflation ngokuqinisekile iyingozi kakhulu.
Izici zale nhlangano
Esinye sezici ezifanele kunazo zonke okufanele sibhekwe kusuka manje kuze kube manje ukwazi ukuthi yini i-stagflation yilawo maphuzu ayichazayo futhi enezinto ezahlukahlukene kakhulu nezinhlobonhlobo. Ngakho-ke, lezi ezinye zazo:
- Ingozi yokuthi umnotho ayikwazi ukukhula, kepha ngokuphambene namanani entengo nakho konke okujwayelekile uma bekhula. Ngezinye izikhathi ngaphansi kwamandla amakhulu futhi ayingozi.
- La ukuhlanekezela ezimakethe zezezimali kuyabonakala futhi ngalomqondo abatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi yibona abathinteka kakhulu kulesi simo esenziwe.
- Iholela ngokungangabazeki ku ukungasebenzi, isizwe kanye nabantu. Enye yezingcuphe ezinkulu ezisuselwa ekubukekeni kwayo nangaphezulu kokunye ukuhlukahluka kwezomnotho.
- Omunye wemiphumela yawo esatshwa kakhulu ukuthi le nqubo ihambisana ne-a devaluation kulezo zenzo lapho kusetshenziswa khona imali yakwamanye amazwe. Ngokubambezeleka okulandelanayo emisebenzini yezomnotho.
Ngeke kulibaleke ukuthi inhlanganisela yokwehla kwamandla emali nokwehla komnotho kunomphumela omkhulu wokwehla komnotho. Ngalesi sizathu, impi yaphakade yokulwa ne-stagflation ayimangazi. Ezimweni eziningi, noma ngabe kubiza malini, ngoba kuzodingeka ukuzidela okukhulu engxenyeni yabantu abathintekayo kuleli thuba lezomnotho. Kuze kube seqophelweni lokuthi sithi ngesinye sezimo ezimbi kunazo zonke ezingafakwa emnothweni wezwe kwazise imiphumela yalo ngeke ibe muhle kakhulu, njengoba uxwayisile kule ndatshana. Ukulawula kwakho kudlula kunanini ngaphambili.